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Supercomputer predicts how Premier League relegation battle will end

Published 17:29 13 Apr 2026 BST

Updated 17:29 13 Apr 2026 BST

Sammi Minion
Supercomputer predicts how Premier League relegation battle will end

Homesport

The Supercomputer has spoken

The 2025/26 Premier League relegation battle is the first in recent memory with the potential to be more memorable than the season's title race.

This is all due to Tottenham Hotspur, whose persistent and continued poor results over past weeks, now sees them in with a real chance of demotion to the English second tier, in what would be the most shocking relegation in the Premier League's over 30-year history.

This is not to say that the title race is not of interest to supporters.

After Arsenal's surprise defeat to Bournemouth on Saturday allowed Man City to cut the Gunners' lead at the top of the Premier League table to just six points, a week before the two challengers meet, fans are seriously questioning whether Arteta's side have what it takes to secure a first league victory since the Invincibles of 2004.

For those unwilling to leave it all to chance, who would perhaps relish the opportunity to peer forwards into the future, to see what is most likely to take place, there is yet hope.

Thanks to leading football statistics experts Opta, a predicted Premier League table has been laid out.

Making use of stats like expected goals and expected wins, Opta have generated a total of expected points for each Premier League side.

These totals have all been tallied up and ranked up against each other to predict what the final Premier League table is most likely to look like.

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Relegation zone:

The prediction brings difficult news for Tottenham Hotspur fans.

Following their defeat to Sunderland on Sunday, that extended their brutal record of still having not won a Premier League came in 2026, Opta predict that Spurs will finish 18th at the end of the campaign.

That result would see them relegated, while West Ham would survive.

The predicted final six are as follows:

  • 15. Leeds United - 41pts
  • 16. Nottingham Forest - 40pts
  • 17. West Ham United - 38pts
  • 18. Tottenham Hotspur - 37pts
  • 19. Burnley - 25pts
  • 20. Wolves - 23 pts.

Full Opta Supercomputer prediction:

  1. Arsenal - 82pts
  2. Man City - 76pts
  3. Man United - 66pts
  4. Aston Villa - 64pts
  5. Liverpool - 61pts
  6. Chelsea - 56 pts
  7. Brighton - 55pts
  8. Everton - 55pts
  9. Brentford - 54pts
  10. Bournemouth - 53pts
  11. Sunderland - 52pts
  12. Fulham - 51pts
  13. Newcastle - 50pts
  14. Crystal Palace - 49pts
  15. Leeds United - 41pts
  16. Nottingham Forest - 40pts
  17. West Ham- 38pts
  18. Spurs - 37pts
  19. Burnley - 25pts
  20. Wolves - 23pts

Supercomputer predicts how Premier League relegation battle will end